"It is not the
number of people on the planet that is the issue but the number of consumers
and the scale and nature of their consumption," says David Satterthwaite,
a senior fellow at the International Institute for Environment and Development
in London.
According to United Nations predictions the
number of population it could reach 9.7 billion people by 2050, and over 11
billion by 2100. But our current level of knowledge does not allow
us to predict whether such a large population is sustainable, simply because it
has never happened before.
It is not the number of people on the planet
that is the issue but the number of consumers and the scale and nature of their
consumption People living in high-income nations must play their part if the
world is to sustain a large human population So a world with a human population
of 11 billion might put comparatively little extra strain on our planet's
resources.
Even if those changes occur, it seems unlikely
that our planet could really sustain a population of 11 billion. So
Steffen suggests that we should stabilise the global population, hopefully at
around nine billion, and then begin a long, slow trend of decreasing
population.
Creating a sustainable population is as much
about boosting women's rights as it is about reducing consumption of resources
The rate of population growth has been slowing since the 1960s and the UN
Population Division's world fertility patterns show that, worldwide, fertility
per woman has fallen from 4.7 babies in 1970-75 to 2.6 in 2005-10.
In a 2014 study, Bradshaw concluded that if two
billion people died tomorrow or if every government adopted controversial
fertility policies such as China's recently-ended one-child policy there would
still be as many if not more people on the planet by 2100 as there are today.
According to this reasoning, creating a
sustainable population is as much about boosting women's rights as it is about
reducing consumption of resources.
So if a world population of 11 billion is
probably unsustainable, how many people, in theory, could Earth support? In
support of this, they point to the problems of climate change, the biodiversity
extinction crisis underway, mass ocean pollution, the fact that one billion people
are already starving and that another one billion people have nutrient
deficiencies.
In the early 20th Century, the global population
problem was as much about the fertility of soil as the fertility of women In
the early 20th Century, the global population problem was as much about the
fertility of soil as the fertility of women.
George Knibbs, in his 1928 book The Shadow of
the World's Future, suggested that if global population reached 7.8 billion,
there would have to be much more efficient use of its surface.
In the very distant future, technology could
lead to much larger sustainable human populations if some people could
eventually live off planet Earth.
OPINION
I
believe that overpopulation is indeed a global crisis. This is because as the
world gets more populated, the food supply must increase to support the
newborns. I think that once the world has reached its limits, the fittest will
survive and the developing countries will fail to support their people with
food, causing mass starvation all around. Overpopulation also causes less jobs
to be available around the globe, and that causes families to struggle hard and
live on the streets. So that makes over population the apocalypse of the
future. That
is not a problem of outstanding proportions at the present time. It's more
visible in the third world countries. But certainly the methods to
control population in some countries has failed and if we don't start to
control it now we won't find a solution.
wealthy: having great wealth; rich.
growth: the act or process or a manner of growing; development; gradual increase:
footprint: a mark left by a foot, as in earth or sandgrowth: the act or process or a manner of growing; development; gradual increase:
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